NoFluffBizRants

This website is used for posting daily business rants about the global economy, encouraging a political tailspin to each opinion. All points of view are welcome and will not be controlled by a moderator’s point of view. The blog supports business points of view from the Right (Conservative), Left (Liberal) and Independent political paradigms allowing guest authors to express their opinions regarding a potential upcoming recession.

The authors of this blog vehemently predict a recession coming in 2026, and spiralling downwards in the months, quarters and years to follow. We request our authors to articulate their economic predictions backed by objective, factual events or statements.

NoFluffBizRants

Please post below with factual, objective points that support your subjective point of view.

  • Market Crash Wolf Totem

    Stock and Bond Market crash coming Halloween 2025. Spreading Into 2026 and beyond

  • Federal Government employees to be laid off

    With the birth of AI bots taking over the private sector and more federal government employees being laid off the Unemployment rate will rise.

  • Goldman CEO gets it wrong!

    Last week the CEO of Goldman Sachs stated the economy is “still in pretty good shape” and appears poised to accelerate into 2026.

    Let’s revisit these numbers at the end of 2025 on 12/31/2025 to understand how David Solomon got it wrong.

    GDP- 3.8%

    https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/gross-domestic-product-2nd-quarter-2025-third-estimate-gdp-industry-corporate-profits

    Unemployment Rate-4.3%

    ****Watch the impact of machines replacing humans will have on the Unemployment rate****

    Stock Indexes:

    DOW- 46,758

    Nasdaq – 22,780

    S&P – 6,715

    The real question is: Why did David Solomon get it wrong?

    He knows the truth, specifically where the economy is heading as can be seen with this comment:

    “I wouldn’t be surprised if in the next 12 to 24 months, we see a drawdown with respect to equity markets … I think that there will be a lot of capital that’s deployed that will turn out to not deliver returns, and when that happens, people won’t feel good.”

    So why did David Solomon get it wrong?

    Answer: The hedge funds are lining up their own funds to take short positions in the market and make a pile of cash.

  • Bottom of the 9th Inning

    Leon Coopermann stated we are in the bottom of the 9th inning of this AI bull market. Citing a quote from Warren Buffet in the late 90’s before the first tech crash:

    ““Once a bull market gets under way, and once you reach the point where everybody has made money no matter what system he or she followed, a crowd is attracted into the game that is responding not to interest rates and profits but simply to the fact that it seems a mistake to be out of stocks,”

    The Buffet indicator – ratio of US stock market to GDP has far exceeded its overvalued threshold of 217%.

    Hope you got your shorts in this summer!

  • “Growth might take a hit”

    Today Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC:

    “We could see a hit to the GDP, a hit to growth and a hit to working America.”

    You got to know when to hold em, and when to fold em. The Treasury Secretary is being honorable that now is the time to fold on the economy.

    This blog is Awesome! no restrictions!

  • Inverse Stock Market Haunted Halloween

    The Grim Reeper is here.

    Government closing down soon. Jobs lost. Inflation increasing. Blue City Chaos.

    Stock Market tsunami in the mail.

  • GrimReeper Coming

    Government Shutdown occurring in hours.

    Stock Market crashes in Q4.

  • Government Shutdown Coming

    The imminent federal government shutdown is less than 24 hours away and it will have a catastrophic impact on the stock market in the last quarter of this year.

    Government shutdowns do not normally have a direct impact on the stock market as the eventual re-opening of the government is always factored in.

    Why would this government shutdown be different? and why would this have an impact on the Stock Market? 1 Answer:

    Labor Market and Increasing Unemployment

    Unemployment is already growing. Federal employees have already been laid off in droves earlier in the year. This government shutdown will have further impact to Federal employees, many of whom reside in the Washington, DC and the larger Virginia area.

    Combine the Government shutdown with the growing consumer pricing as a result of the tariffs, the recipe produces a very grim 4th quarter.

    The lack of spending and increasing unemployment is occuring at the worst time of the year: Holiday season when the global retail market is expecting spending to increase.

    The trends in the recent unemployment statistics have a direct correlation to the trends we experienced in 2008.

  • “Responsibly Bullish” or BullSHIT responsibly?

    Last week, Tony Pasquarello, Hedge fund leader of Goldman Sachs informed us to be “Responsibly Bullish” on the stock market. This is the equivalent of saying: “You can buy this car with over 100,000 miles and it PROBABLY won’t break down on you.” This remark is a hedge in and of itself, its essentially saying: I think the stock market will go up, but I’m not guaranteeing it, so be “responsible”.

    This is everything that is wrong with corporate finance: You hear one thing, but don’t really understand the fine print hidden in the message.

    This author understands that this comment is a sham and proper representation of how to……

    BULLSHIT responsibly

    If you want a more prudent perspective on what will occur with the stock market listen to Tom Stevenson of Fidelity International:

    “A stock market crash is right around the corner.”

  • Treasury Yields Skyrocket Stock Market

    The major stock indexes broke multiple records over the past couple months due to the lowering Treasuring Yields. All the banter on this blog that the stock market will crash is just a bunch pessimism from negative nellies who are upset with the election results on 2024. Face the reality….the stock market will continue to break records.