NoFluffBizRants

This website is used for posting daily business rants about the global economy, encouraging a political tailspin to each opinion. All points of view are welcome and will not be controlled by a moderator’s point of view. The blog supports business points of view from the Right (Conservative), Left (Liberal) and Independent political paradigms allowing guest authors to express their opinions regarding a potential upcoming recession.

The authors of this blog vehemently predict a recession coming in 2026, and spiralling downwards in the months, quarters and years to follow. We request our authors to articulate their economic predictions backed by objective, factual events or statements.

NoFluffBizRants

Please post below with factual, objective points that support your subjective point of view.

  • Q3 Coming Soon – Tariff Bonanaza

    Thank you to all who have contributed to this blog over the past couple of months. Quarter 3 starts on July 1st, 2025. With the recent tariff threats placed on the EU and the looming situation with China which is current on an 90 day interim hold, does any think these two events will not have a major impact on the stock market this summer?

    Combine the devaluing of the US dollar and the resulting impact this is having on treasury yields, this blog predicts the recession is coming in the third quarter of this year.

    Additionally, the unemployment benefits of all the federal employees who were laid off 3 months ago with DOGE’s cuts will start to run out shortly. The private sector is in a stagnant state of significant job growth due to the increasing presence of AI technologies replacing the need for human beings.

    Take a note where the economy starts on July 1st, 2025 and where it ends on September 30th, 2025.

  • Cruel Summer Recession Coming

    After hearing an interview from from Apollo Management today, this author thinks this blog has a point related to a recession coming in the summer.

    Appollo Management’s point was that consumer demand is going to be significantly impacted as a result of the shelves in food store emptying and truckers being laid off. The container ships from China are down from a 1/3rd starting next week. West Coasts are seeing a 1/3rd drop of ships coming to the United States starting next week.

    One point that Appollo Management did not make is that Amazon will have their worst “Prime day” in July this year in the history of the company. Amazon has a reputation of laying off employees in a very reactive mode. Amazon employs so many Americans and International employees who will be immediately impacted by a bad Prime day. Jeff Bezos was asked not to put a tariff on consumer goods, which he probably will not honor as Jeff only cares about his own bottomline.

    To forecast the slowdown with Amazon, UPS recently announced it plans to layoff 20,000 employees AND reduce its partnership footprint with Amazon.

    General Motors, Kraft and Heinz are informing their investors they can not give earnings guidance in the upcoming quarter.

    As this massive tidle wave of ations that are wiping away trillions away from the stock market, the tariffs are throwing more fuel on to the fire of global inflation issue.

    In Q2 investors will notice further retraction and Q3, starting in July, is when the real recession begins.

  • April Showers Tanking Markets

    The markets tanked over the past 2 days due to the unfair tariffs forced on some of the US’s most loyal trading partners. Stagflation is on its way in the 3rd quarter of this year.

    God Bless America Again – Bobby Bare

  • America First Tariffs

    The tariffs forced on our international trade partners are meant to protect the United States’s economy, promote a fair trade balance and prevent further currency manipulation.

    Currency and Interest rate manipulation account for billions of dollars of losses for the United States. To the blind eye, the tariffs only appear to be hurting our relationship with our trade partners; in fairness, to a certain degree, on an emotional level they do cause a lot of tension. These necessary financial safeguards, also known as tariffs, will also boost the US GDP. Contrary to the popular opinion of this blog, the tariffs introduced by the Trump administration will actually bolster consumer spending and push up the United States GDP.

    Combine the investments made by Apple, Oracle and OpenAI in the technology sector, JnJ and Eli Lilly in the Pharma vertical and Hyundai and Nissan in the automative industry with the revenue received from the new tariffs and the United States economy will reach heights we’ve never even dreamed of visualizing. After the stock market climbs to these forecasted mountain peaks, these baseless predictions of a 3rd quarter financial meltdown will dissipate faster than a tablespoon of salt in a molten boiling pot of water.

  • April Fools Tariffs

    On Wednesday, April 2nd, 2025 the Trump administration plans to activate the Tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Both Canada and Mexico communicated their intention to impose retaliatory tariffs as a response in what they feel is a unprovoked, and unfair trade war. While this is occurring right after April fools, this is NO FOOLING MATTER!!!

    The prices of Cars, imported alcohol, food prices will experience further increases. As no surprise due to the mass layoffs, Unemployment is also on the rise. The convergence of these 2 economic events can trigger an economic disaster similar to that of a NorthPole blizzard. Add on the investment of the annexation of Greenland as a potential introduction of the 51st of the United States and the overall GDP could start to nosedive.

    The resulting consequences of these tariffs, rising unemployment and annexation attempt are going to take a few months to metastasize into a spiraling recession that we have not seen since 2008. Many economists predict that the stock market will have an immediate reaction in the first 2 weeks of April. However, the real long term resulting impacts will result in the stock marketing starting to slide at the end of the 3rd quarter into the final quarter of the year.

  • Tariffs on Cars Imports

    In the 2008 economic crash, what was one of the first industries impacted? Automative, specifically our big 3: 1.GM, 2.Ford and 3.Chrysller at the time. This had a major impact on the employees of these companies and the partners of these companies as well. This economic depression cause the Michigan governor to make one of the worst decisions in the history of water management by changing the water channels for the city of Flint.

    Today, March 26, 2025. the Trump Administration imposed Tariffs on imported cars will create further friction with our European allies, the European Union and our direct neighbors in Mexico and Canada. At the surface, this appears to be a great advantage for the Big 3 automakers of the United States: 1.GM 2.Ford. 3.Stellantis; Unfortunately these tariffs will also negatively impact the US automakers as well due to the forecasted increase in higher production costs due to tariffs’ effect on the auto supply chain. Anyone living in the Detroit areas knows that cost increases directly impact main street. If there are employees laid off due to these tariffs have to focus on our bare essentials of life, consumer spending wiithin the midwest region of our country is going to nosedive.

    The countries making these cars are going to respond with retaliatory tariff and travel restictions measures in the 2nd measures

    The combination of Layoffs, decrease in consumer spending and business revenge tactics that our foreign allies plan to surprise us with will result in a recession in the 3rd quarter of this year starting in July 1st, 2025?

  • Trump Negotiating Ukraine Russia peace deal

    Today the Trump Administration inched a few steps closer to negotiating a peace deal with Russia and Ukraine.

    The markets reacted positively to this news and the prospect of 2 more interest rates decreases in this fiscal year.

    A recession in the 3rd quarter of this year will not occur. On the contrary, the stock market will reach new heights never seen before.

  • Quarter 3 Recession

    This author also predicts a recession will occur in the 3rd quarter of this fiscal year due to the following reasons:

    1.The impact of laying off hundreds of thousands of government workers will trigger a calvacade of consequences inclusive of high unemployment.

    2.In parallel to the government layoffs, AI is silently taking away jobs from the private sector. As more AI bots are created the need for humans to hold jobs with highly repetitive tasks decreases significantly. The Veterans Affairs is planning to layoff thousands of workers in June.

    3.Combining points 1 and 2 will trigger a calvacade of consequences. The unequal imbalance of jobs lost in both the public and private sector will result in high unemployment rates, mortgage defaults, foreclosures and unfortunately an increase in crime, both nationally and internationally.

    4.The tariffs being placed on Canada, Mexico and China which go into effect in April will result in a decrease in consumer spending and an additional increase in inflation.

    5.The uncertainty involved with the turmoil of these events will result in investors pulling their money out of the stock market and into alternative investments which promote shorting the market.