Food prices, an unavoidable expense for us all are on the rise 3% from last year. We all need to eat, which means we all need to spend more money on food. This intersection of a decreasing labor market is a recipe for a recession.
NoFluffBizRants
Please post below with factual, objective points that support your subjective point of view.
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The straw that broke the camel’s back
2 major events occurred today that are going to bring the economy to its knees this year:
1.Tariffs put on countries doing business with Iran. China does business with Iran. China is the 2nd major economy in the world and developing its own competing AI products with US and the world.
2.Attack on Federal Reserve. Fruity Ass Powell facing a lawsuit from the US government. The stability of the fed reserve is the backbone of the US Dollar.
Rizzo!
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The AI Job Crisis: Rising Unemployment and Market Impact
10 Reasons for economic concerns in 2026:
1.AI Hype Realized: The product is overextended and unreliable. It produces many hallucinations and bad outputs. MFST and ORACLE will realize they over-invested in AI rather than focus on their foundational bread and butter products. AI is flooding social media with garbage pictures and stories that don’t make logical sense (i.e. people with 6 fingers).
2.Rising Unemployment as a result of AI decimating jobs that can be automated. 3 quarters of Americans believe AI will slash jobs in 2026 and beyond.
3.”META”‘s Facebook decreasing AD sales. AI didn’t produce the results it wanted to.
4.Open AI has not returned a profit yet. Tons of organizations continue to blindly invest billions into the Chat GPT hallucinations.
5.NVDIA will have major competition from China. China is investing heavily in making their own GPU (Graphic Processing Units) chips.
6.Grassroots campaigns will start to boycott AI. Politicians who support these AI boycotts will begin to win elections.
7.International Government regulations are going to restrict AI monopolies resulting in trade barriers.
8.Affordability will continue to spiral out of control. This will happen at an intersection point. The unemployment rate is steadily rising during this time.
9.Worst economy for new graduates due to AI stealing white collar automated jobs. Manual labor job market will be flooded with new candidates.
10.Fraud discovered for private investments into Anthropic and Open AI.
In 2025, naive investors put all their eggs in AI basket. In 2026, that basket is going to smell of rotten eggs. In 2027, those eggs will be transported to foreign graveyards called shell companies. This will be done to hide losses.
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Interest Rate Cuts amist Tariff-fueled Inflation
The move the Federal Reserve Board made this week to cut interest rates a 3rd time in the past 3 months sparks the risk of higher inflation. The labor market is slowing drastically and we will all see skyrocketing unemployment numbers in 2026. Inflation will increase due to the impact AI is having on the overall job market. Powell and his cronies know this. This is a bullying tactic to further drive up the stock market. This author would compare this move to a negative amortization loan…..You keep dropping your current montly payments only pay drastically in the long term future before you have to foreclose on your house. Bad move, short term gains, long term consequences.
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AI Tech Bubble Fear Skyrocketing
The results of this week’s NASDAQ stock market performance is evidence the fear of overpriced AI stocks are on the rise. the lack of a government bailout safety net also shows this could be bigger than the 2008 crash when the banks were bailed out after making very risky mortgage backed security bets.
Why? Because AI lives in server farms corporate offices and actual people live in the houses backed by the CDO’s. The consequences of the banks backing these mortgages going under, forced to sell those CDO houses, and put people on the street are much more CATASTROPHIC than overinflated AI, inhumane robots not meeting the value of their investments.
So who will be the real losers when this happens? The C-Suite of these AI companies? Even their employees who made millions on restricted company stock? No! The real losers will be the common stock holders who invested their life savings into this AI sham in West Ham.
FOLLOW Warren Buffet’s advice: GET
OUT NOW! Sell your stock and convert to short positions. Long puts
The big bad wolf is huffing and puffing, and about to blow this mfer down!
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Halloween Ends – November Begins
The AI stocks are spent.
We’ll see how long US-China trade negotiations materialize.
Government Shutdown consequences get real next week
UnEmployment statistics unveiled….. Spooky….
AI Decimating the Work force.
November – Vietnam month
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Unemployment Statistics?
With the recent US Government shutdown the public has not received the unemployment statistics. Do we really expect the unemployment stats to improve with AI decimating the labor market more and more every month? How does the impact of laying off and furloughing government employees impact the unemployment statistics?
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“We’ll never yield”
As we embark on the upcoming US-China trade war negotiations its important to understand China’s mindset entering a war of any kind.
China will not back down on the negotiations points, specifically export controls on rare earth minerals and resulting tariffs China plans to inherit as a result.
China is adopting the foreign direct product rule, to restrict China’s access to US software. Recently China published their export controls in a WPS format making it impossible for anyone outside China to open the document.
While the US has been very optimisitic about making a fair trade deal to the media, there are some undercurrents to suggest otherwise:
-Make a deal with Australia for rare earth materials as a backup if the China deal does not workout.
-Laying out the terms of the deal in public media as opposed to behind closed doors. Maybe China is not interested in having behind closed doors meeting.
-China did not seem overly thrilled about their perception of time hacking backed by irrefutable evidence.
-China re-opening discussions about invading Taiwan for their rare-earth minerals. Interesting fact, the head of Nvidia is from Taiwan and China has banned use of all Nvidia chips sold in China.
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US-China Trade War: Critical 4 weeks ahead!
Much of the future of this years stock and bond market outlook, as well as next years (2026) trajectory is dependent on the trade negotiations with China.
Scott Bessent is meeting with the Chinese government to soften the recent tone ahead of next week’s critical meeting with the US and China top leaders.
If things go well, the stock market will surge. If things don’t go well, the triple digit tariffs go into effect, and the stock market will tank (see 10/10/25 results). Very simple.
The real question is: How does the recent allegations coming from the China government impact the sentiment of the negotiations?
We will know by mid November.
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Open AI – AI Overhyped?
Open AI does produce valuable Generative AI tools that we all find valuable. But is it irreplaceable? and is it really as valuable as all the money being poured into it? Why can’t over companies like Anthropic or the many AI companies created now replace the Gen AI features outputted from the Chat GPT engine?
The real question is: Does Open AI currently turn a profit?
The San Francisco-based company has not yet turned a profit. With all the money poured into Open AI, it could also amplify concerns about an AI bubble if the generative AI products made by OpenAI and its competitors don’t meet the expectations of investors pouring billions of dollars into research and development.
There is no major life function: eating, sleeping, drinking, mating that Open AI remotely solves. It’s a nice to have that makes automated processes more efficient.
The near future over the next 2 to 3 years will answer the question regarding whether these investments into Open AI will payoff, or generate massive write-offs on the balance sheets of the companies investing.
NoFluffBizRants 