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NoFluffBizRants

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  • Bottom of the 9th Inning

    Leon Coopermann stated we are in the bottom of the 9th inning of this AI bull market. Citing a quote from Warren Buffet in the late 90’s before the first tech crash:

    ““Once a bull market gets under way, and once you reach the point where everybody has made money no matter what system he or she followed, a crowd is attracted into the game that is responding not to interest rates and profits but simply to the fact that it seems a mistake to be out of stocks,”

    The Buffet indicator – ratio of US stock market to GDP has far exceeded its overvalued threshold of 217%.

    Hope you got your shorts in this summer!

  • “Growth might take a hit”

    Today Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC:

    “We could see a hit to the GDP, a hit to growth and a hit to working America.”

    You got to know when to hold em, and when to fold em. The Treasury Secretary is being honorable that now is the time to fold on the economy.

    This blog is Awesome! no restrictions!

  • Inverse Stock Market Haunted Halloween

    The Grim Reeper is here.

    Government closing down soon. Jobs lost. Inflation increasing. Blue City Chaos.

    Stock Market tsunami in the mail.

  • GrimReeper Coming

    Government Shutdown occurring in hours.

    Stock Market crashes in Q4.

  • Government Shutdown Coming

    The imminent federal government shutdown is less than 24 hours away and it will have a catastrophic impact on the stock market in the last quarter of this year.

    Government shutdowns do not normally have a direct impact on the stock market as the eventual re-opening of the government is always factored in.

    Why would this government shutdown be different? and why would this have an impact on the Stock Market? 1 Answer:

    Labor Market and Increasing Unemployment

    Unemployment is already growing. Federal employees have already been laid off in droves earlier in the year. This government shutdown will have further impact to Federal employees, many of whom reside in the Washington, DC and the larger Virginia area.

    Combine the Government shutdown with the growing consumer pricing as a result of the tariffs, the recipe produces a very grim 4th quarter.

    The lack of spending and increasing unemployment is occuring at the worst time of the year: Holiday season when the global retail market is expecting spending to increase.

    The trends in the recent unemployment statistics have a direct correlation to the trends we experienced in 2008.

  • “Responsibly Bullish” or BullSHIT responsibly?

    Last week, Tony Pasquarello, Hedge fund leader of Goldman Sachs informed us to be “Responsibly Bullish” on the stock market. This is the equivalent of saying: “You can buy this car with over 100,000 miles and it PROBABLY won’t break down on you.” This remark is a hedge in and of itself, its essentially saying: I think the stock market will go up, but I’m not guaranteeing it, so be “responsible”.

    This is everything that is wrong with corporate finance: You hear one thing, but don’t really understand the fine print hidden in the message.

    This author understands that this comment is a sham and proper representation of how to……

    BULLSHIT responsibly

    If you want a more prudent perspective on what will occur with the stock market listen to Tom Stevenson of Fidelity International:

    “A stock market crash is right around the corner.”

  • Treasury Yields Skyrocket Stock Market

    The major stock indexes broke multiple records over the past couple months due to the lowering Treasuring Yields. All the banter on this blog that the stock market will crash is just a bunch pessimism from negative nellies who are upset with the election results on 2024. Face the reality….the stock market will continue to break records.

  • Fed Undecisive on Interest Rates

    The Federal Reserve stating that stocks were “fairly highly valued” should provide some insight into the trajectory of the stock market. The Fed is cognizant that Inflation is increasing, unemployment is increasing and the further rate cuts will further destabilize the economy.

    The cornerstone of the decision to cut interest rates is the Fed’s opinion on BOTH Inflation and Unemployment statistics, both of which are going in the wrong direction. The nomenclature spewed by the Federal Reserve today showcased nervousness, indecisiveness and the component the markets hate the most….

    UNCERTAINTY!

  • Time to pay the piper

    Suns Up, Funs Up. This ingloriious overinflated stock market sham is about to be exposed.

    AI is not helping the broader economy, it’s hurting the few vulnerable customer support roles that can be replaced by machines.

    in 2008 didn’t we learn what happens when the unemployment rate and inflation risks catch up to the Stock market?

    The brokers and retail traders danced all summer long to an AI – artificially inflated stock market, and the manifestation of their actions will force them to reflect on their self-indulgant behavior…..

    IT’S TIME TO PAY THE PIPER!

  • Artificial Intelligence or Artificial Earnings?

    The recent AI bubble has me questioning whether the stock market is really acting in a prudent matter to all the inflated stock prices.

    Is Artificial Intelligence taking over the world or are these artificial earnings?

    Do you need AI to conduct any of the basic core necessities in life? Eating, drinking, housing, mating, driving…. Even non-essentials like searching the internet or writing a paper for school or work?

    AI is great for accomplishing repetitive tasks by a machine that human beings have normally completed. AI does not solve any of the core necessities of life. It’s a nice to have, not a need to have.

    AI is currently the prettiest girl in the ballroom with the stock market ogling anything AI related. As our economy starts to lose permanent jobs replaced by machine robots, we will quickly realize that none of our core essentials were solved with AI and in contrast the core essentials of life were damaged by AI due to the labor loss. The prettiest girl in the ballroom will morph into an old, wrinkled witch with tons of complaints before our very eyes during the Halloween season and the stock market will crash.