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As of mid-October 2025, Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase, believes the US market is at a higher risk of a significant correction than others perceive. He cites multiple factors, including high valuations, geopolitical tensions, and an uncertain economic outlook, as reasons for his concern.
After hearing an interview from from Apollo Management today, this author thinks this blog has a point related to a recession coming in the summer.
Appollo Management’s point was that consumer demand is going to be significantly impacted as a result of the shelves in food store emptying and truckers being laid off. The container ships from China are down from a 1/3rd starting next week. West Coasts are seeing a 1/3rd drop of ships coming to the United States starting next week.
One point that Appollo Management did not make is that Amazon will have their worst “Prime day” in July this year in the history of the company. Amazon has a reputation of laying off employees in a very reactive mode. Amazon employs so many Americans and International employees who will be immediately impacted by a bad Prime day. Jeff Bezos was asked not to put a tariff on consumer goods, which he probably will not honor as Jeff only cares about his own bottomline.
To forecast the slowdown with Amazon, UPS recently announced it plans to layoff 20,000 employees AND reduce its partnership footprint with Amazon.
General Motors, Kraft and Heinz are informing their investors they can not give earnings guidance in the upcoming quarter.
As this massive tidle wave of ations that are wiping away trillions away from the stock market, the tariffs are throwing more fuel on to the fire of global inflation issue.
In Q2 investors will notice further retraction and Q3, starting in July, is when the real recession begins.
NoFluffBizRants 